cripto news https://criptofiner.com/ ru cripto news DataLife Engine Bitcoin Is Recovering After a Selloff. Here Come the Bullish Price Forecasts. https://criptofiner.com/learn/177-bitcoin-is-recovering-after-a-selloff-here-come-the-bullish-price-forecasts.html https://criptofiner.com/learn/177-bitcoin-is-recovering-after-a-selloff-here-come-the-bullish-price-forecasts.html admin Tue, 27 Jan 2026 10:40:18 +0300

  • Bullish bitcoin price targets for the year-end range from $120,000 to $200,000, suggesting upside, with analysts saying the worst of October's derivatives-linked rout in crypto markets is in the rearview mirror.
  • Crypto-linked stocks Coinbase Global and Robinhood got a lift Monday, while MicroStrategy is flat.
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  • Bullish bitcoin price targets for the year-end range from $120,000 to $200,000, suggesting upside, with analysts saying the worst of October's derivatives-linked rout in crypto markets is in the rearview mirror.
  • Crypto-linked stocks Coinbase Global and Robinhood got a lift Monday, while MicroStrategy is flat.

The price of bitcoin is edging upward again. Its latest slide hasn't scared off the bulls, who are out with new upbeat targets as the coin tests a recovery.

The price of the world's most well-known cryptocurrency may soon return to previous highs, Wall Street analysts say. Their 2025 outlooks for bitcoin (BTCUSD) range from about $120,000 to $200,000, a gap that reflects uncertainty about the near-term outlook but also expresses the belief that the worst of the recent sell-off is behind us.

There isn’t, however, unanimity about what could drive prices higher. Some crypto watchers have said that the possibility that the U.S. government shutdown could come to an end is bullish for bitcoin and other risk assets. Others have suggested that more reasons for investor caution could push investors back toward bitcoin as a hedge against uncertainty.

WHY THIS MATTERS TO YOU

Bitcoin appears to be at a crossroads, now that the negativity triggered by the Oct. 10 crash, is fading. However, it also seems to be lacking a clear set of catalysts that would draw sidelined investors back in.

Bitcoin prices, which last week touched levels below $100,000 for the first time in months, appear to be bouncing in the last 24 hours, recently touching levels around $106,000, according to research platform Messari. So are some other crypto bets: Solana (SOLUSD) is recovering at a faster pace than other altcoins, up compared to ether's (ETHUSD) sideways crawl as of Monday afternoon. Crypto-linked stocks are also getting a lift, albeit unevenly, with Coinbase Global (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) jumping more than 3% while Strategy (MSTR), which is down slightly.

Fundstrat's Tom Lee, something of a risk-asset permabull, told CNBC last week that the S&P 500 could reach 7500 by the end of the year.1 He also said he expects bitcoin to jump back to its record highs, with the Oct. 10 crash and its ripple effects fading. "I still think we can get to $150,000 to $200,000 for bitcoin and something like $7,000 for ethereum," Lee said. "At the beginning of the year, the firm set its 2025 price target for bitcoin at $175,000.

Crypto-focused financial services firm Galaxy last week lowered its year-end target to $120,000 from $185,000, saying the Oct. 10 wipeout "materially damaged the bull market trends." Galaxy's head of research Alex Thorn wrote in a note last week that while he remains bullish over the long term, that bitcoin has entered a "maturity era," marked by institutional adoption, passive flows from spot ETFs, and lower volatility.2

"If bitcoin can maintain the ~$100k level, we believe the almost three-year bull market will remain structurally intact, though the pace of future gains may be slower," he said.

Cathie Wood, Ark Invest's CEO, has shaved $300,000 off her 2030 bitcoin price target to $1.2 million from a previous $1.5 million.3 Wood told CNBC last week that stablecoins are fulfilling a role in payments and remittances, a function she previously expected bitcoin to play.

And JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, reiterated his view that bitcoin prices could rise on the premise of what he called "debasement trade,"noting that much of the derivatives-related pressure related to the mid-October pullback—when more than $19 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated—now appears to have eased.4

Based on the difference between bitcoin's price and the firm's volatility-adjusted comparison to gold prices, the digital asset should theoretically reach a price near $170,000, he said in a note last week.


]]>

  • Bullish bitcoin price targets for the year-end range from $120,000 to $200,000, suggesting upside, with analysts saying the worst of October's derivatives-linked rout in crypto markets is in the rearview mirror.
  • Crypto-linked stocks Coinbase Global and Robinhood got a lift Monday, while MicroStrategy is flat.

The price of bitcoin is edging upward again. Its latest slide hasn't scared off the bulls, who are out with new upbeat targets as the coin tests a recovery.

The price of the world's most well-known cryptocurrency may soon return to previous highs, Wall Street analysts say. Their 2025 outlooks for bitcoin (BTCUSD) range from about $120,000 to $200,000, a gap that reflects uncertainty about the near-term outlook but also expresses the belief that the worst of the recent sell-off is behind us.

There isn’t, however, unanimity about what could drive prices higher. Some crypto watchers have said that the possibility that the U.S. government shutdown could come to an end is bullish for bitcoin and other risk assets. Others have suggested that more reasons for investor caution could push investors back toward bitcoin as a hedge against uncertainty.

WHY THIS MATTERS TO YOU

Bitcoin appears to be at a crossroads, now that the negativity triggered by the Oct. 10 crash, is fading. However, it also seems to be lacking a clear set of catalysts that would draw sidelined investors back in.

Bitcoin prices, which last week touched levels below $100,000 for the first time in months, appear to be bouncing in the last 24 hours, recently touching levels around $106,000, according to research platform Messari. So are some other crypto bets: Solana (SOLUSD) is recovering at a faster pace than other altcoins, up compared to ether's (ETHUSD) sideways crawl as of Monday afternoon. Crypto-linked stocks are also getting a lift, albeit unevenly, with Coinbase Global (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) jumping more than 3% while Strategy (MSTR), which is down slightly.

Fundstrat's Tom Lee, something of a risk-asset permabull, told CNBC last week that the S&P 500 could reach 7500 by the end of the year.1 He also said he expects bitcoin to jump back to its record highs, with the Oct. 10 crash and its ripple effects fading. "I still think we can get to $150,000 to $200,000 for bitcoin and something like $7,000 for ethereum," Lee said. "At the beginning of the year, the firm set its 2025 price target for bitcoin at $175,000.

Crypto-focused financial services firm Galaxy last week lowered its year-end target to $120,000 from $185,000, saying the Oct. 10 wipeout "materially damaged the bull market trends." Galaxy's head of research Alex Thorn wrote in a note last week that while he remains bullish over the long term, that bitcoin has entered a "maturity era," marked by institutional adoption, passive flows from spot ETFs, and lower volatility.2

"If bitcoin can maintain the ~$100k level, we believe the almost three-year bull market will remain structurally intact, though the pace of future gains may be slower," he said.

Cathie Wood, Ark Invest's CEO, has shaved $300,000 off her 2030 bitcoin price target to $1.2 million from a previous $1.5 million.3 Wood told CNBC last week that stablecoins are fulfilling a role in payments and remittances, a function she previously expected bitcoin to play.

And JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, reiterated his view that bitcoin prices could rise on the premise of what he called "debasement trade,"noting that much of the derivatives-related pressure related to the mid-October pullback—when more than $19 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated—now appears to have eased.4

Based on the difference between bitcoin's price and the firm's volatility-adjusted comparison to gold prices, the digital asset should theoretically reach a price near $170,000, he said in a note last week.


]]> Crypto Has Bitcoin Alternatives to Sell You as the Coin's Price Slips Below $90,000 https://criptofiner.com/learn/176-crypto-has-bitcoin-alternatives-to-sell-you-as-the-coins-price-slips-below-90000.html https://criptofiner.com/learn/176-crypto-has-bitcoin-alternatives-to-sell-you-as-the-coins-price-slips-below-90000.html admin Tue, 27 Jan 2026 10:36:21 +0300

  • Over $1 trillion in coin market cap value has been erased since crypto's October peaks. Bitcoin sank below $90,000 overnight, to the lowest level since April, before recovering to near $93,000.
  • Meanwhile, the crypto industry continues to offer investors new ways to move their money into the space.
]]>

  • Over $1 trillion in coin market cap value has been erased since crypto's October peaks. Bitcoin sank below $90,000 overnight, to the lowest level since April, before recovering to near $93,000.
  • Meanwhile, the crypto industry continues to offer investors new ways to move their money into the space.

Bitcoin is down. Crypto is still shipping.

Investment appetites are being tested as products—including new exchange-traded funds, initial coin offerings and an index-linked token—launch into a bear market for the industry's best-known asset.

It's happening at a challenging time for investors, both in crypto and risk assets broadly. The crypto market has lost over $1 trillion in market value, down more than 25% since bitcoin's (BTCUSD) October peak. Meanwhile, the most well-known and largest coin recently continued its descent, sinking below $90,000 overnight to levels last seen in April, before recovering to around $93,000.

But amid the downbeat price action, investors continue to have more options for their crypto capital—which, for some, may amount to alternatives to bitcoin.

Why This Matters to Crypto Investors

Bitcoin is a huge part of the crypto market, accounting for more than half of its overall value. Yet the proliferation of other products—such as spot ETFs holding altcoins, some of which have double-digit year-to-date gains—could attract investors looking for alternatives.

Coinbase Global (COIN), the largest U.S. public crypto exchange, earlier this week debuted its revamped ICO platform—a marketplace for the crypto industry's version of IPOs—with the launch of Monad's token sale.1 CoinMarketCap, meanwhile, launched a crypto index token.2

Also, the pace of spot altcoin ETF debuts has quickened in the last few weeks, owed in part to the Securities and Exchange Commission's new standards for coin fund listings.

Asset managers big and small are in the mix: There's Fidelity Solana Fund (FSOL), Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL), and Canary Capital XRP ETF (XRPC). There's 21Shares FTSE Crypto 10 Index ETF (TTOP), a fund of funds that tracks bitcoin as well as other coins including memes like doge (DOGEUSD) and decentralized exchange Hyperliquid's token (HYPEUSD), and the 21shares FTSE Crypto 10 ex-BTC Index ETF (TXBC), a version sans bitcoin.

ETFs linked to baskets of coins that have huge slugs of bitcoin may be a tough sell in these markets, but single altcoin funds could find life yet. While bitcoin is down 2% year-to-date, altcoin performance has been mixed: Ether and sol are down 8% and 27%, respectively, according to Messari research. But Binance's native token (BNBUSD) is up 30%, and Hyperliquid's token roughly 60%, over the same period.

  • Bitcoin's drop below $90,000 has wiped out $478 million in leveraged positions, with longs contributing over 90% to the total liquidations.
  • Major altcoins like Dogecoin, Bonk, Pepe, and ZCash, which posted double-digit gains in the first week, have followed top crypto’s lead and tanked.
  • Analysts attribute the decline to fading early-year momentum, a risk-off macro mood ahead of U.S. jobs data, and short-term headwinds from Bitcoin ETF outflows.

As a result of the top crypto’s downward move, total liquidations over the past 24 hours have exceeded $477 million, according to CoinGlass data. Bulls who rode the optimism, expecting the momentum to continue, are now paying the price, as longs account for over 90% of total liquidations.

Ethereum and XRP are down 3.9% and 7.6%, respectively, while meme coins like Pepe and Bonk, which nearly doubled in the first week of 2026, are now down 6.6% and 8%.

“Bitcoin’s move below $90,000 reflects fading momentum from the early-year boost,” Illia Otychenko, Lead Analyst at CEX.IO, told Decrypt. “Fresh allocations at the start of 2026 and supportive geopolitical headlines helped initially, but they were not strong enough to sustain a rally.”

Other analysts point to a confluence of headwinds.

“Despite a strong start to 2026 and positive structural developments... Bitcoin has struggled to sustain a move above the $90,000 level—and there are several drivers behind this price movement,” Wenny Cai, COO at SynFutures, told Decrypt.

She cited broader risk-off sentiment across global markets, where investors are awaiting key macro data like U.S. jobs reports, which have kept risk appetite muted. “This risk-off behavior has been reflected in Bitcoin’s trading ranges near the low-$90Ks and occasional dips below $90K,” Cai said.

As a result, the investor sentiment remains relatively low. Users on prediction market Myriad, owned by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, reflected this behavior, assigning only a 24.5% chance that Bitcoin hits a new all-time high before July.

Otychenko added that the recent pullback was reinforced by renewed spot exchange-traded fund outflows, highlighting the U.S. Bitcoin ETFs’ $243 million outflow.

Cai concurred, noting that while a long-term positive, “ETF flows—while a structural positive—have recently acted as a headwind in the short term,” reducing immediate buying pressure.

“Crypto market liquidity remains thin, resulting in choppy price action,” according to Otychenko, who believes that the outlook could improve with Bitcoin bouncing following the U.S. jobs data tomorrow.

Cai highlighted the same liquidity issue, noting conditions are “thinner than that in prior bull phases,” which can exaggerate downside moves even when fundamental demand is intact.



]]>

  • Over $1 trillion in coin market cap value has been erased since crypto's October peaks. Bitcoin sank below $90,000 overnight, to the lowest level since April, before recovering to near $93,000.
  • Meanwhile, the crypto industry continues to offer investors new ways to move their money into the space.

Bitcoin is down. Crypto is still shipping.

Investment appetites are being tested as products—including new exchange-traded funds, initial coin offerings and an index-linked token—launch into a bear market for the industry's best-known asset.

It's happening at a challenging time for investors, both in crypto and risk assets broadly. The crypto market has lost over $1 trillion in market value, down more than 25% since bitcoin's (BTCUSD) October peak. Meanwhile, the most well-known and largest coin recently continued its descent, sinking below $90,000 overnight to levels last seen in April, before recovering to around $93,000.

But amid the downbeat price action, investors continue to have more options for their crypto capital—which, for some, may amount to alternatives to bitcoin.

Why This Matters to Crypto Investors

Bitcoin is a huge part of the crypto market, accounting for more than half of its overall value. Yet the proliferation of other products—such as spot ETFs holding altcoins, some of which have double-digit year-to-date gains—could attract investors looking for alternatives.

Coinbase Global (COIN), the largest U.S. public crypto exchange, earlier this week debuted its revamped ICO platform—a marketplace for the crypto industry's version of IPOs—with the launch of Monad's token sale.1 CoinMarketCap, meanwhile, launched a crypto index token.2

Also, the pace of spot altcoin ETF debuts has quickened in the last few weeks, owed in part to the Securities and Exchange Commission's new standards for coin fund listings.

Asset managers big and small are in the mix: There's Fidelity Solana Fund (FSOL), Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL), and Canary Capital XRP ETF (XRPC). There's 21Shares FTSE Crypto 10 Index ETF (TTOP), a fund of funds that tracks bitcoin as well as other coins including memes like doge (DOGEUSD) and decentralized exchange Hyperliquid's token (HYPEUSD), and the 21shares FTSE Crypto 10 ex-BTC Index ETF (TXBC), a version sans bitcoin.

ETFs linked to baskets of coins that have huge slugs of bitcoin may be a tough sell in these markets, but single altcoin funds could find life yet. While bitcoin is down 2% year-to-date, altcoin performance has been mixed: Ether and sol are down 8% and 27%, respectively, according to Messari research. But Binance's native token (BNBUSD) is up 30%, and Hyperliquid's token roughly 60%, over the same period.

  • Bitcoin's drop below $90,000 has wiped out $478 million in leveraged positions, with longs contributing over 90% to the total liquidations.
  • Major altcoins like Dogecoin, Bonk, Pepe, and ZCash, which posted double-digit gains in the first week, have followed top crypto’s lead and tanked.
  • Analysts attribute the decline to fading early-year momentum, a risk-off macro mood ahead of U.S. jobs data, and short-term headwinds from Bitcoin ETF outflows.

As a result of the top crypto’s downward move, total liquidations over the past 24 hours have exceeded $477 million, according to CoinGlass data. Bulls who rode the optimism, expecting the momentum to continue, are now paying the price, as longs account for over 90% of total liquidations.

Ethereum and XRP are down 3.9% and 7.6%, respectively, while meme coins like Pepe and Bonk, which nearly doubled in the first week of 2026, are now down 6.6% and 8%.

“Bitcoin’s move below $90,000 reflects fading momentum from the early-year boost,” Illia Otychenko, Lead Analyst at CEX.IO, told Decrypt. “Fresh allocations at the start of 2026 and supportive geopolitical headlines helped initially, but they were not strong enough to sustain a rally.”

Other analysts point to a confluence of headwinds.

“Despite a strong start to 2026 and positive structural developments... Bitcoin has struggled to sustain a move above the $90,000 level—and there are several drivers behind this price movement,” Wenny Cai, COO at SynFutures, told Decrypt.

She cited broader risk-off sentiment across global markets, where investors are awaiting key macro data like U.S. jobs reports, which have kept risk appetite muted. “This risk-off behavior has been reflected in Bitcoin’s trading ranges near the low-$90Ks and occasional dips below $90K,” Cai said.

As a result, the investor sentiment remains relatively low. Users on prediction market Myriad, owned by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, reflected this behavior, assigning only a 24.5% chance that Bitcoin hits a new all-time high before July.

Otychenko added that the recent pullback was reinforced by renewed spot exchange-traded fund outflows, highlighting the U.S. Bitcoin ETFs’ $243 million outflow.

Cai concurred, noting that while a long-term positive, “ETF flows—while a structural positive—have recently acted as a headwind in the short term,” reducing immediate buying pressure.

“Crypto market liquidity remains thin, resulting in choppy price action,” according to Otychenko, who believes that the outlook could improve with Bitcoin bouncing following the U.S. jobs data tomorrow.

Cai highlighted the same liquidity issue, noting conditions are “thinner than that in prior bull phases,” which can exaggerate downside moves even when fundamental demand is intact.



]]> Bitcoin’s Price Fell $30K+ Since Last Month—Why Is It So Volatile? https://criptofiner.com/learn/175-bitcoin’s-price-fell-30k-since-last-month—why-is-it-so-volatile.html https://criptofiner.com/learn/175-bitcoin’s-price-fell-30k-since-last-month—why-is-it-so-volatile.html admin Tue, 27 Jan 2026 10:30:14 +0300

  • Bitcoin's price has dropped by more than $30,000 in the last six weeks, a reminder that the most popular cryptocurrency's value is highly unpredictable.
  • Even when conditions seem favorable, crypto assets can be volatile because of limited supply, concentrated ownership among "whales," and hair-trigger market sentiment.
  • Bitcoin's volatility presents great risks for everyday investors, but also the chance for gains from significant price swings.
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  • Bitcoin's price has dropped by more than $30,000 in the last six weeks, a reminder that the most popular cryptocurrency's value is highly unpredictable.
  • Even when conditions seem favorable, crypto assets can be volatile because of limited supply, concentrated ownership among "whales," and hair-trigger market sentiment.
  • Bitcoin's volatility presents great risks for everyday investors, but also the chance for gains from significant price swings.

Just this fall alone, the price of Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, has plunged by more than a quarter (28%), dropping below $90,000 before rebounding about 4%. At 2 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday, the price stood at $93,848. But back on Oct. 7, it was over $124,000—a $30,000+ difference.

The rapid price shifts are a gut-wrenching reminder that the world's most popular cryptocurrency remains breathtakingly volatile, swinging on everything from whale trades to weekend headlines.

The whiplash is especially striking as many investors expected a sustained run upward, thanks to a crypto-friendly administration and relaxed U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) oversight. But almost two decades after Bitcoin's launch, the token still behaves less like digital gold and more like a speculative fever dream.

So why does Bitcoin remain so volatile, and what should you know before adding it to your portfolio?

Why This Matters to You

Bitcoin is a volatile asset. If you're currently invested in it, remember your investment strategy and why you added it to your portfolio in the first place. If you're not invested in crypto but have been considering it, think strategically about how this asset fits into your portfolio and whether you'll be able to weather the volatility that comes with it.

When the Market Sneezes, Bitcoin Catches a Cold

Bitcoin's price swings come down to basic economics: supply and demand. There will only ever be 21 million bitcoin in existence, and a surprisingly small number of accounts control a huge chunk of that supply. These so-called "Bitcoin whales" can move markets with a single trade, and when they decide to sell—or even hint at selling—prices can crater fast.12

To prevent total meltdowns, exchanges often cap how much Bitcoin can be liquidated in a single day. That might sound like it gives you some cover against sudden losses, except that it could mean you might watch your portfolio bleed out while being unable to sell, stuck holding bitcoins you can't offload because the whales hit the daily limit first.

In addition, it's not just crypto prices you need to watch. Stumbles in the markets have increasingly led to sell-offs, as cryptocurrencies tend to be the first assets investors dump when fear sets in. That's because crypto is seen as a "risk-on" asset—something you hold when you're feeling confident, not when you're setting up your defenses for a downturn. So when the market drops, as we've seen in the mid-2020s, crypto losses might be even bigger.

Hype, Fear, and the 24/7 News Machine Feeding Crypto Trading

Bitcoin's price doesn't just respond to fundamentals, but lives and dies by hype and speculation. While some crypto investors might be buying Bitcoin because they think it'll revolutionize finance, many are investing because they're hoping someone else will pay more for it tomorrow. That's speculative trading, which can turn every price movement into a potential stampede. Since so many people are betting on momentum, once that reverses, everyone rushes for the exits.3

Investor sentiment in Bitcoin also remains closely tied to the cryptocurrency news cycle, which runs 24 hours a day, seven days a week, like the crypto markets. Even seemingly minor news updates can have a major impact on the price of Bitcoin, while significant developments—such as the 2024 U.S. election or a regulatory update from the SEC—can cause dramatic shifts.4

Unlike the stock markets, crypto exchanges never close, which means there's no pause button, no cooling-off period—just the constant potential for volatility from every headline, rumor, and Reddit post.

Hype, Fear, and the 24/7 News Machine Feeding Crypto Trading

Bitcoin's price doesn't just respond to fundamentals, but lives and dies by hype and speculation. While some crypto investors might be buying Bitcoin because they think it'll revolutionize finance, many are investing because they're hoping someone else will pay more for it tomorrow. That's speculative trading, which can turn every price movement into a potential stampede. Since so many people are betting on momentum, once that reverses, everyone rushes for the exits.3

Investor sentiment in Bitcoin also remains closely tied to the cryptocurrency news cycle, which runs 24 hours a day, seven days a week, like the crypto markets. Even seemingly minor news updates can have a major impact on the price of Bitcoin, while significant developments—such as the 2024 U.S. election or a regulatory update from the SEC—can cause dramatic shifts.4

Unlike the stock markets, crypto exchanges never close, which means there's no pause button, no cooling-off period—just the constant potential for volatility from every headline, rumor, and Reddit post.

Important

Investors often treat crypto and crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like the riskiest chips on the table, cashing them out first to cover losses elsewhere or move to safer ground when the broader market dips

Bitcoin's Regulatory Risks

More than 15 years after the launch of crypto, governments worldwide disagree on whether and how to regulate these currencies. They even differ over how to define it. Is Bitcoin a commodity like gold? A currency like any other traded in the foreign exchange markets? Property like real estate? A security like a stock?

In the U.S., the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission primarily oversee cryptocurrency regulations, which can change at a fast clip. For example, the SEC's greenlight for crypto ETFs this decade significantly boosted demand for Bitcoin, while the GENIUS Act, passed in July 2025, reshaped the stablecoin space, with knock-on effects for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Additionally, ongoing legal challenges to existing regulations mean the rules governing crypto are still very much a work in progress. Every court ruling, every new law, every agency announcement adds another layer of uncertainty—and uncertainty is volatility's best friend.5

How You Can Prepare for Bitcoin's Volatility

Bitcoin's wild price swings are not automatically bad for you. While volatility can be nerve-wracking, those same swings create prospects for capturing gains. If you're nimble enough to buy low and sell high—or disciplined enough to keep buying regardless of price—volatility can actually work in your favor.

Traditional investment strategies can help you stay grounded even when Bitcoin's price swings up and down:

  • Dollar-cost averaging, where you invest a fixed amount at regular intervals (like after each paycheck), regardless of price, can smooth out the bumps over time and prevent you from trying to time the market, which is often the worst move for everyday investors.
  • Position sizing, where you limit crypto to a small percentage of your overall portfolio, can keep a Bitcoin crash from ruining your retirement plans.

The trick is to have your Bitcoin strategy in place before the volatility hits, not scramble to create one while Bitcoin's price is cratering or shooting to the moon.

However, these strategies work best for, say, investing in S&P 500 indexes since the stock market has been up over time. But if you don't have the same conviction for Bitcoin's long-term prospects, the crypto roller coaster might not be for you.


]]>

  • Bitcoin's price has dropped by more than $30,000 in the last six weeks, a reminder that the most popular cryptocurrency's value is highly unpredictable.
  • Even when conditions seem favorable, crypto assets can be volatile because of limited supply, concentrated ownership among "whales," and hair-trigger market sentiment.
  • Bitcoin's volatility presents great risks for everyday investors, but also the chance for gains from significant price swings.

Just this fall alone, the price of Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, has plunged by more than a quarter (28%), dropping below $90,000 before rebounding about 4%. At 2 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday, the price stood at $93,848. But back on Oct. 7, it was over $124,000—a $30,000+ difference.

The rapid price shifts are a gut-wrenching reminder that the world's most popular cryptocurrency remains breathtakingly volatile, swinging on everything from whale trades to weekend headlines.

The whiplash is especially striking as many investors expected a sustained run upward, thanks to a crypto-friendly administration and relaxed U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) oversight. But almost two decades after Bitcoin's launch, the token still behaves less like digital gold and more like a speculative fever dream.

So why does Bitcoin remain so volatile, and what should you know before adding it to your portfolio?

Why This Matters to You

Bitcoin is a volatile asset. If you're currently invested in it, remember your investment strategy and why you added it to your portfolio in the first place. If you're not invested in crypto but have been considering it, think strategically about how this asset fits into your portfolio and whether you'll be able to weather the volatility that comes with it.

When the Market Sneezes, Bitcoin Catches a Cold

Bitcoin's price swings come down to basic economics: supply and demand. There will only ever be 21 million bitcoin in existence, and a surprisingly small number of accounts control a huge chunk of that supply. These so-called "Bitcoin whales" can move markets with a single trade, and when they decide to sell—or even hint at selling—prices can crater fast.12

To prevent total meltdowns, exchanges often cap how much Bitcoin can be liquidated in a single day. That might sound like it gives you some cover against sudden losses, except that it could mean you might watch your portfolio bleed out while being unable to sell, stuck holding bitcoins you can't offload because the whales hit the daily limit first.

In addition, it's not just crypto prices you need to watch. Stumbles in the markets have increasingly led to sell-offs, as cryptocurrencies tend to be the first assets investors dump when fear sets in. That's because crypto is seen as a "risk-on" asset—something you hold when you're feeling confident, not when you're setting up your defenses for a downturn. So when the market drops, as we've seen in the mid-2020s, crypto losses might be even bigger.

Hype, Fear, and the 24/7 News Machine Feeding Crypto Trading

Bitcoin's price doesn't just respond to fundamentals, but lives and dies by hype and speculation. While some crypto investors might be buying Bitcoin because they think it'll revolutionize finance, many are investing because they're hoping someone else will pay more for it tomorrow. That's speculative trading, which can turn every price movement into a potential stampede. Since so many people are betting on momentum, once that reverses, everyone rushes for the exits.3

Investor sentiment in Bitcoin also remains closely tied to the cryptocurrency news cycle, which runs 24 hours a day, seven days a week, like the crypto markets. Even seemingly minor news updates can have a major impact on the price of Bitcoin, while significant developments—such as the 2024 U.S. election or a regulatory update from the SEC—can cause dramatic shifts.4

Unlike the stock markets, crypto exchanges never close, which means there's no pause button, no cooling-off period—just the constant potential for volatility from every headline, rumor, and Reddit post.

Hype, Fear, and the 24/7 News Machine Feeding Crypto Trading

Bitcoin's price doesn't just respond to fundamentals, but lives and dies by hype and speculation. While some crypto investors might be buying Bitcoin because they think it'll revolutionize finance, many are investing because they're hoping someone else will pay more for it tomorrow. That's speculative trading, which can turn every price movement into a potential stampede. Since so many people are betting on momentum, once that reverses, everyone rushes for the exits.3

Investor sentiment in Bitcoin also remains closely tied to the cryptocurrency news cycle, which runs 24 hours a day, seven days a week, like the crypto markets. Even seemingly minor news updates can have a major impact on the price of Bitcoin, while significant developments—such as the 2024 U.S. election or a regulatory update from the SEC—can cause dramatic shifts.4

Unlike the stock markets, crypto exchanges never close, which means there's no pause button, no cooling-off period—just the constant potential for volatility from every headline, rumor, and Reddit post.

Important

Investors often treat crypto and crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like the riskiest chips on the table, cashing them out first to cover losses elsewhere or move to safer ground when the broader market dips

Bitcoin's Regulatory Risks

More than 15 years after the launch of crypto, governments worldwide disagree on whether and how to regulate these currencies. They even differ over how to define it. Is Bitcoin a commodity like gold? A currency like any other traded in the foreign exchange markets? Property like real estate? A security like a stock?

In the U.S., the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission primarily oversee cryptocurrency regulations, which can change at a fast clip. For example, the SEC's greenlight for crypto ETFs this decade significantly boosted demand for Bitcoin, while the GENIUS Act, passed in July 2025, reshaped the stablecoin space, with knock-on effects for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Additionally, ongoing legal challenges to existing regulations mean the rules governing crypto are still very much a work in progress. Every court ruling, every new law, every agency announcement adds another layer of uncertainty—and uncertainty is volatility's best friend.5

How You Can Prepare for Bitcoin's Volatility

Bitcoin's wild price swings are not automatically bad for you. While volatility can be nerve-wracking, those same swings create prospects for capturing gains. If you're nimble enough to buy low and sell high—or disciplined enough to keep buying regardless of price—volatility can actually work in your favor.

Traditional investment strategies can help you stay grounded even when Bitcoin's price swings up and down:

  • Dollar-cost averaging, where you invest a fixed amount at regular intervals (like after each paycheck), regardless of price, can smooth out the bumps over time and prevent you from trying to time the market, which is often the worst move for everyday investors.
  • Position sizing, where you limit crypto to a small percentage of your overall portfolio, can keep a Bitcoin crash from ruining your retirement plans.

The trick is to have your Bitcoin strategy in place before the volatility hits, not scramble to create one while Bitcoin's price is cratering or shooting to the moon.

However, these strategies work best for, say, investing in S&P 500 indexes since the stock market has been up over time. But if you don't have the same conviction for Bitcoin's long-term prospects, the crypto roller coaster might not be for you.


]]> Solana’s New $500 Smartphone Token Skyrocketed After Launch https://criptofiner.com/technical/174-solana’s-new-500-smartphone-token-skyrocketed-after-launch.html https://criptofiner.com/technical/174-solana’s-new-500-smartphone-token-skyrocketed-after-launch.html admin Sat, 24 Jan 2026 16:07:50 +0300

  • Solana’s Seeker phone launch sparked a sharp SKR token rally following its airdrop and exchange listings.
  • Early staking locked up supply, with yields near 24% encouraging holders not to sell.
  • The rally was driven by launch mechanics rather than fundamentals, with long-term value depending on device adoption, app usage, and reduced inflation over time.


]]>

  • Solana’s Seeker phone launch sparked a sharp SKR token rally following its airdrop and exchange listings.
  • Early staking locked up supply, with yields near 24% encouraging holders not to sell.
  • The rally was driven by launch mechanics rather than fundamentals, with long-term value depending on device adoption, app usage, and reduced inflation over time.

Solana’s latest push into hardware-driven crypto took an unexpected turn this week after the token tied to its new Seeker smartphone, $SKR, surged more than 200% within days of launch, according to CoinGecko data.

The rally followed the long-awaited token generation event (TGE) and airdrop linked to Solana Mobile’s second-generation device, a $500 Android phone designed for on-chain use. While early volatility was expected, the scale and speed of the move drew attention across the crypto market.

A Phone Built for Crypto Users?

Solana Seeker is positioned as a Web3-native smartphone rather than a traditional flagship device. It integrates wallet security, identity, and staking features directly into the operating system.

The phone includes a built-in Seed Vault for private key storage, biometric transaction signing, and access to Solana’s dApp Store.

Users can interact with dApps, stake tokens, and track rewards without relying on third-party wallets.

More than 150,000 units were preordered in the first sales wave, according to Solana Mobile. Additional devices are now shipping as the ecosystem enters its second reward season.

The SKR Token Launch

The Seeker ecosystem is powered by SKR, a Solana-based token with a fixed supply of 10 billion. Roughly 30% of the supply was allocated to users and developers through an airdrop tied to device ownership and on-chain activity.

Claims were processed directly through the Seeker wallet, with immediate staking enabled. Developers received some of the largest allocations, while heavy users earned six-figure token amounts.

Unlike many recent launches, $SKR debuted with a relatively low fully diluted valuation, limiting early sell pressure.

Why SKR Rallied So Sharply

Several factors combined to push $SKR higher in its first two trading days. Initial staking removed a large share of tokens from circulation. Solana Mobile’s staking design incentivizes holders to lock tokens immediately, tightening supply during price discovery.

Also, early staking yields near 24% APY encouraged participation. These rewards come from token inflation rather than revenue, favoring early adopters and discouraging quick selling.

Meanwhile, fast exchange listings and high trading volume accelerated price discovery. Data shows daily volume exceeded $140 million at peak, a high figure relative to the token’s circulating market cap.

Major exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken listed the token, despite a small market cap of nearly $200 million.

These dynamics created a short-term supply squeeze during the launch window.

However, much of the initial demand was driven by airdrop dynamics, staking incentives, and low liquidity, rather than sustained revenue or usage metrics.

As unclaimed tokens enter circulation and inflation declines, price pressure could re-emerge.

The Seeker launch represents Solana’s most ambitious attempt yet to tie physical hardware directly to tokenized incentives.

Whether that model can scale beyond early adopters remains an open question.

]]>

  • Solana’s Seeker phone launch sparked a sharp SKR token rally following its airdrop and exchange listings.
  • Early staking locked up supply, with yields near 24% encouraging holders not to sell.
  • The rally was driven by launch mechanics rather than fundamentals, with long-term value depending on device adoption, app usage, and reduced inflation over time.

Solana’s latest push into hardware-driven crypto took an unexpected turn this week after the token tied to its new Seeker smartphone, $SKR, surged more than 200% within days of launch, according to CoinGecko data.

The rally followed the long-awaited token generation event (TGE) and airdrop linked to Solana Mobile’s second-generation device, a $500 Android phone designed for on-chain use. While early volatility was expected, the scale and speed of the move drew attention across the crypto market.

A Phone Built for Crypto Users?

Solana Seeker is positioned as a Web3-native smartphone rather than a traditional flagship device. It integrates wallet security, identity, and staking features directly into the operating system.

The phone includes a built-in Seed Vault for private key storage, biometric transaction signing, and access to Solana’s dApp Store.

Users can interact with dApps, stake tokens, and track rewards without relying on third-party wallets.

More than 150,000 units were preordered in the first sales wave, according to Solana Mobile. Additional devices are now shipping as the ecosystem enters its second reward season.

The SKR Token Launch

The Seeker ecosystem is powered by SKR, a Solana-based token with a fixed supply of 10 billion. Roughly 30% of the supply was allocated to users and developers through an airdrop tied to device ownership and on-chain activity.

Claims were processed directly through the Seeker wallet, with immediate staking enabled. Developers received some of the largest allocations, while heavy users earned six-figure token amounts.

Unlike many recent launches, $SKR debuted with a relatively low fully diluted valuation, limiting early sell pressure.

Why SKR Rallied So Sharply

Several factors combined to push $SKR higher in its first two trading days. Initial staking removed a large share of tokens from circulation. Solana Mobile’s staking design incentivizes holders to lock tokens immediately, tightening supply during price discovery.

Also, early staking yields near 24% APY encouraged participation. These rewards come from token inflation rather than revenue, favoring early adopters and discouraging quick selling.

Meanwhile, fast exchange listings and high trading volume accelerated price discovery. Data shows daily volume exceeded $140 million at peak, a high figure relative to the token’s circulating market cap.

Major exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken listed the token, despite a small market cap of nearly $200 million.

These dynamics created a short-term supply squeeze during the launch window.

However, much of the initial demand was driven by airdrop dynamics, staking incentives, and low liquidity, rather than sustained revenue or usage metrics.

As unclaimed tokens enter circulation and inflation declines, price pressure could re-emerge.

The Seeker launch represents Solana’s most ambitious attempt yet to tie physical hardware directly to tokenized incentives.

Whether that model can scale beyond early adopters remains an open question.

]]> Spacecoin Launches with a 65% Rally Post-Airdrop, But Will the Hype Hold? https://criptofiner.com/technical/173-spacecoin-launches-with-a-65-rally-post-airdrop-but-will-the-hype-hold.html https://criptofiner.com/technical/173-spacecoin-launches-with-a-65-rally-post-airdrop-but-will-the-hype-hold.html admin Sat, 24 Jan 2026 15:59:56 +0300

  • SPACE rallies 65% on Season 1 airdrop launch and extensive CEX–DEX listings.
  • Multi-chain rollout, staking rewards, and Aster DEX incentives fuel short-term trading momentum.
  • Vesting schedules and airdrop-driven hype raise sustainability and sell-pressure concerns.
]]>

  • SPACE rallies 65% on Season 1 airdrop launch and extensive CEX–DEX listings.
  • Multi-chain rollout, staking rewards, and Aster DEX incentives fuel short-term trading momentum.
  • Vesting schedules and airdrop-driven hype raise sustainability and sell-pressure concerns.

Spacecoin’s newly launched SPACE token surged more than 65%, as the project unveiled detailed plans for its Season 1 airdrop, exchange listings, and cross-chain rollout.

It marks a significant step for a venture positioning itself at the intersection of blockchain, satellite infrastructure, and telecom networks.

Spacecoin Season 1 Airdrop Plans

As of this writing, Spacecoin’s SPACE token was trading for $0.021, just shy of this peak price of $0.026 achieved amid launch frenzy. It is up nearly 66% over the last 24 hours, with prospects for further short-term gains, suggesting growing investor interest.

Indeed, investors have a lot to look forward to after Spacecoin’s announcement that SPACE is now live across multiple blockchain ecosystems, including Creditcoin, Ethereum, Binance Smart Chain (BSC), and Base.

The token launch represents what the project describes as the “economic heartbeat” of its decentralized satellite internet vision. It allows community members (Cadets) to participate directly in the emerging space economy.

Momentum is further boosted by immediate access to deep liquidity. On launch day, SPACE listed across a wide range of centralized exchanges. This includes Binance (Alpha and Futures), Kraken (Spot), OKX (Spot and Perpetuals), KuCoin, MEXC, Bitget, Coinone, Blockchain.com, and Bybit.

The breadth of listings, spanning both spot and derivatives markets, helped amplify early trading activity and price discovery.

Decentralized trading options also went live in parallel. SPACE is available on PancakeSwap for swaps and liquidity provision.

Despite the impressive 65% rally and broad exchange coverage, the SPACE price surge remains typical of early-stage token launches fueled by airdrop hype and multi-platform listings rather than proven utility at scale.

Aster DEX Helps Ignite Spacecoin’s 65% Rally

Meanwhile, Aster DEX launched a limited-time trading campaign featuring reward pools totaling $150,000 in ASTER tokens and 15.75 million SPACE tokens.

The dual CEX-DEX strategy highlights Spacecoin’s push for broad accessibility. It mirrors its stated goal of building an internet layer without geographic or financial barriers.

At the center of the excitement is the Season 1 airdrop, designed to reward early supporters who engaged with the Spacecoin ecosystem before token generation (TGE).

Eligible participants can now claim their allocations through the official claims portal by connecting the wallets they used during the campaign. To reduce friction, Spacecoin is distributing 0.01 CTC (Creditcoin) to eligible wallets to cover gas fees during the claim process.

Notably, however, the airdrop comes with strict eligibility criteria and anti-abuse measures.

  • Participants must have held specific assets such as CTC, WCTC, or designated NFTs.
  • They must have also completed social missions and event activities during the open period.

Accounts flagged for suspicious behavior would be excluded, ensuring rewards go to genuine community members rather than bots.

Token unlocks are structured to limit immediate supply pressure. For Season 1, 25% of rewards unlock at the TGE, with the remainder vesting monthly over three months.

Season 2 allocations will follow a similar phased schedule, though those rewards will become visible later.

Will the Hype Last?

Beyond trading and airdrops, Spacecoin also launched a limited-time staking program offering a 10% APR for SPACE tokens on the Creditcoin network alongside cross-chain transfers powered by Wormhole.

Together, these features position SPACE as a multi-chain asset designed for both speculation and long-term participation.

Nevertheless, while Season 1 airdrop’s partial unlock (25% at TGE) and anti-abuse filters are positive steps to curb dumps, vesting schedules across seasons could still create staggered selling pressure as recipients cash out rewards.

Additionally, high trading volumes on day one often signal speculative froth more than sustained demand.

Overall, the fundamentals remain strong for Spacecoin. Yet, its launch rally is still largely driven by speculation, and nearly 90% of all airdropped tokens fail within the first 3 months. Maintaining a positive price structure within this period would be crucial for the SPACE token.

]]>

  • SPACE rallies 65% on Season 1 airdrop launch and extensive CEX–DEX listings.
  • Multi-chain rollout, staking rewards, and Aster DEX incentives fuel short-term trading momentum.
  • Vesting schedules and airdrop-driven hype raise sustainability and sell-pressure concerns.

Spacecoin’s newly launched SPACE token surged more than 65%, as the project unveiled detailed plans for its Season 1 airdrop, exchange listings, and cross-chain rollout.

It marks a significant step for a venture positioning itself at the intersection of blockchain, satellite infrastructure, and telecom networks.

Spacecoin Season 1 Airdrop Plans

As of this writing, Spacecoin’s SPACE token was trading for $0.021, just shy of this peak price of $0.026 achieved amid launch frenzy. It is up nearly 66% over the last 24 hours, with prospects for further short-term gains, suggesting growing investor interest.

Indeed, investors have a lot to look forward to after Spacecoin’s announcement that SPACE is now live across multiple blockchain ecosystems, including Creditcoin, Ethereum, Binance Smart Chain (BSC), and Base.

The token launch represents what the project describes as the “economic heartbeat” of its decentralized satellite internet vision. It allows community members (Cadets) to participate directly in the emerging space economy.

Momentum is further boosted by immediate access to deep liquidity. On launch day, SPACE listed across a wide range of centralized exchanges. This includes Binance (Alpha and Futures), Kraken (Spot), OKX (Spot and Perpetuals), KuCoin, MEXC, Bitget, Coinone, Blockchain.com, and Bybit.

The breadth of listings, spanning both spot and derivatives markets, helped amplify early trading activity and price discovery.

Decentralized trading options also went live in parallel. SPACE is available on PancakeSwap for swaps and liquidity provision.

Despite the impressive 65% rally and broad exchange coverage, the SPACE price surge remains typical of early-stage token launches fueled by airdrop hype and multi-platform listings rather than proven utility at scale.

Aster DEX Helps Ignite Spacecoin’s 65% Rally

Meanwhile, Aster DEX launched a limited-time trading campaign featuring reward pools totaling $150,000 in ASTER tokens and 15.75 million SPACE tokens.

The dual CEX-DEX strategy highlights Spacecoin’s push for broad accessibility. It mirrors its stated goal of building an internet layer without geographic or financial barriers.

At the center of the excitement is the Season 1 airdrop, designed to reward early supporters who engaged with the Spacecoin ecosystem before token generation (TGE).

Eligible participants can now claim their allocations through the official claims portal by connecting the wallets they used during the campaign. To reduce friction, Spacecoin is distributing 0.01 CTC (Creditcoin) to eligible wallets to cover gas fees during the claim process.

Notably, however, the airdrop comes with strict eligibility criteria and anti-abuse measures.

  • Participants must have held specific assets such as CTC, WCTC, or designated NFTs.
  • They must have also completed social missions and event activities during the open period.

Accounts flagged for suspicious behavior would be excluded, ensuring rewards go to genuine community members rather than bots.

Token unlocks are structured to limit immediate supply pressure. For Season 1, 25% of rewards unlock at the TGE, with the remainder vesting monthly over three months.

Season 2 allocations will follow a similar phased schedule, though those rewards will become visible later.

Will the Hype Last?

Beyond trading and airdrops, Spacecoin also launched a limited-time staking program offering a 10% APR for SPACE tokens on the Creditcoin network alongside cross-chain transfers powered by Wormhole.

Together, these features position SPACE as a multi-chain asset designed for both speculation and long-term participation.

Nevertheless, while Season 1 airdrop’s partial unlock (25% at TGE) and anti-abuse filters are positive steps to curb dumps, vesting schedules across seasons could still create staggered selling pressure as recipients cash out rewards.

Additionally, high trading volumes on day one often signal speculative froth more than sustained demand.

Overall, the fundamentals remain strong for Spacecoin. Yet, its launch rally is still largely driven by speculation, and nearly 90% of all airdropped tokens fail within the first 3 months. Maintaining a positive price structure within this period would be crucial for the SPACE token.

]]> Trader Considers $4 Million Payday as Gold Price Surges Past $5,000 https://criptofiner.com/technical/172-trader-considers-4-million-payday-as-gold-price-surges-past-5000.html https://criptofiner.com/technical/172-trader-considers-4-million-payday-as-gold-price-surges-past-5000.html admin Sat, 24 Jan 2026 15:57:37 +0300

  • Gold surges past $5,000 as dollar hits multi-month lows, signaling intensifying macro stress.
  • Trader converts $7 million USDT into $4.17 million XAUT, highlighting rising demand for tokenized gold.
  • Analysts see gold targeting $5,400–$6,500 as commodities tighten and fiat confidence erodes.


]]>

  • Gold surges past $5,000 as dollar hits multi-month lows, signaling intensifying macro stress.
  • Trader converts $7 million USDT into $4.17 million XAUT, highlighting rising demand for tokenized gold.
  • Analysts see gold targeting $5,400–$6,500 as commodities tighten and fiat confidence erodes.

The Gold price has surged past the $ 5,000-per-ounce mark, setting a historic benchmark for the precious metal.

This move suggests mounting investor concern over the US Dollar’s ongoing decline, while Bitcoin and Ethereum remain well below critical levels

Gold Rockets Past $5,000 Amid Dollar Collapse

As of this writing, Gold is trading for $4,987 after establishing an intra-day high of $5,009 on January 24. The precious metal is up by almost 20% in the last 24 hours.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has nosedived to 97.45, a multi-month low as this level was last tested in September 2025.

The milestone coincides with a striking on-chain move, where a single trader on the Bybit exchange deposited 7 million USDT and withdrew 843 XAUT, worth $4.17 million, highlighting growing interest in tokenized gold as a hedge against fiat volatility.

Lookonchain, which monitors blockchain transactions, flagged the activity, noting that the sizable XAUT purchase is among the largest tokenized gold movements in recent months.

The trade may indicate potential profit-taking or reallocation strategies as gold reaches unprecedented levels.

While cryptocurrencies have traditionally been considered an alternative to fiat, the latest price action highlights gold’s resilience relative to digital assets.

Ethereum trades at $2,958 and Bitcoin at $89,615, with gold’s rally outpacing the gains of leading cryptos in recent weeks. Such divergence reflects gold’s continuing role as a safe-haven asset during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty.

The US Dollar’s decline has been a central driver of the surge. According to recent market commentary, the greenback has lost nearly 50% of its value relative to gold over the past year. Notably, this is the largest drop in US history.

Could Dollar Weakness and Commodity Pressures Drive Gold Rally Toward $6,500?

Analysts warn that sustained dollar weakness is fueling a broader rush into precious metals and other inflation-resistant assets.

Against this backdrop, general sentiment for gold remains bullish, particularly for the precious metal’s near-term trajectory.

“Possible price action in gold over the coming weeks and months. I expect the present run in gold to continue until $5,400 – 5,600, then 10% correction, consolidation, and continuation higher towards $6,500 by summer 2026, which, if it materializes, would constitute 30% gain from the present price level…,” stated investment manager and financial analyst Rashad Hajiyev.

This forecast aligns with Goldman Sachs’ thesis that the gold price could rally to $5,400 in 2026. Reports also indicate that Bank of America expects gold to reach $6,000 by Spring 2026.

Copper Shortages and Dollar Weakness Spotlight Gold as a Safe-Haven Asset

The surge in gold prices also reflects broader commodity pressures. Billionaire mining magnate Robert Friedland recently highlighted structural constraints in the copper market. He warned of looming supply shortages necessary to sustain global GDP growth and electrification efforts.

“We’re consuming 30 million tonnes of copper a year, only 4 million of which is recycled… In the next 18 years, we have to mine as much copper as we mined in the last 10,000 years combined,” Friedland said, highlighting the scarcity pressures that are impacting multiple commodity markets, including precious metals.

The convergence of dollar weakness, supply-chain stress, and a historic gold rally presents both opportunity and risk.

The $4.17 million XAUT transaction on Bybit may foreshadow further institutional moves into tokenized gold.

Meanwhile, the broader macro environment suggests that gold could remain a critical hedge for wealth preservation amid increased volatility in cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies.

]]>

  • Gold surges past $5,000 as dollar hits multi-month lows, signaling intensifying macro stress.
  • Trader converts $7 million USDT into $4.17 million XAUT, highlighting rising demand for tokenized gold.
  • Analysts see gold targeting $5,400–$6,500 as commodities tighten and fiat confidence erodes.

The Gold price has surged past the $ 5,000-per-ounce mark, setting a historic benchmark for the precious metal.

This move suggests mounting investor concern over the US Dollar’s ongoing decline, while Bitcoin and Ethereum remain well below critical levels

Gold Rockets Past $5,000 Amid Dollar Collapse

As of this writing, Gold is trading for $4,987 after establishing an intra-day high of $5,009 on January 24. The precious metal is up by almost 20% in the last 24 hours.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has nosedived to 97.45, a multi-month low as this level was last tested in September 2025.

The milestone coincides with a striking on-chain move, where a single trader on the Bybit exchange deposited 7 million USDT and withdrew 843 XAUT, worth $4.17 million, highlighting growing interest in tokenized gold as a hedge against fiat volatility.

Lookonchain, which monitors blockchain transactions, flagged the activity, noting that the sizable XAUT purchase is among the largest tokenized gold movements in recent months.

The trade may indicate potential profit-taking or reallocation strategies as gold reaches unprecedented levels.

While cryptocurrencies have traditionally been considered an alternative to fiat, the latest price action highlights gold’s resilience relative to digital assets.

Ethereum trades at $2,958 and Bitcoin at $89,615, with gold’s rally outpacing the gains of leading cryptos in recent weeks. Such divergence reflects gold’s continuing role as a safe-haven asset during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty.

The US Dollar’s decline has been a central driver of the surge. According to recent market commentary, the greenback has lost nearly 50% of its value relative to gold over the past year. Notably, this is the largest drop in US history.

Could Dollar Weakness and Commodity Pressures Drive Gold Rally Toward $6,500?

Analysts warn that sustained dollar weakness is fueling a broader rush into precious metals and other inflation-resistant assets.

Against this backdrop, general sentiment for gold remains bullish, particularly for the precious metal’s near-term trajectory.

“Possible price action in gold over the coming weeks and months. I expect the present run in gold to continue until $5,400 – 5,600, then 10% correction, consolidation, and continuation higher towards $6,500 by summer 2026, which, if it materializes, would constitute 30% gain from the present price level…,” stated investment manager and financial analyst Rashad Hajiyev.

This forecast aligns with Goldman Sachs’ thesis that the gold price could rally to $5,400 in 2026. Reports also indicate that Bank of America expects gold to reach $6,000 by Spring 2026.

Copper Shortages and Dollar Weakness Spotlight Gold as a Safe-Haven Asset

The surge in gold prices also reflects broader commodity pressures. Billionaire mining magnate Robert Friedland recently highlighted structural constraints in the copper market. He warned of looming supply shortages necessary to sustain global GDP growth and electrification efforts.

“We’re consuming 30 million tonnes of copper a year, only 4 million of which is recycled… In the next 18 years, we have to mine as much copper as we mined in the last 10,000 years combined,” Friedland said, highlighting the scarcity pressures that are impacting multiple commodity markets, including precious metals.

The convergence of dollar weakness, supply-chain stress, and a historic gold rally presents both opportunity and risk.

The $4.17 million XAUT transaction on Bybit may foreshadow further institutional moves into tokenized gold.

Meanwhile, the broader macro environment suggests that gold could remain a critical hedge for wealth preservation amid increased volatility in cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies.

]]> Hong Kong to issue first batch of stablecoin licenses in Q1, finance chief says https://criptofiner.com/analysis/171-hong-kong-to-issue-first-batch-of-stablecoin-licenses-in-q1-finance-chief-says.html https://criptofiner.com/analysis/171-hong-kong-to-issue-first-batch-of-stablecoin-licenses-in-q1-finance-chief-says.html admin Wed, 21 Jan 2026 11:43:30 +0300

  • Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan said authorities plan to issue the first batch of stablecoin licenses in the first quarter, the South China Morning Post reported.
  • The city’s stablecoin licensing regime, passed in 2025, requires issuers to meet strict reserve, redemption and risk management standards.
]]>

  • Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan said authorities plan to issue the first batch of stablecoin licenses in the first quarter, the South China Morning Post reported.
  • The city’s stablecoin licensing regime, passed in 2025, requires issuers to meet strict reserve, redemption and risk management standards.

Hong Kong is planning to issue its first batch of stablecoin licences in the first quarter of this year, as the city presses ahead with its push to become a crypto hub.

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan said that Hong Kong's crypto asset framework remains "responsible and sustainable," noting that the authorities plan to grant the first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses in the first quarter, the South China Morning Post reported.

Chan said the city aims to create a comprehensive ecosystem covering stablecoins, exchanges, and tokenized assets, framing digital finance as a key pillar of Hong Kong's growth strategy amid intensifying global competition.

The stablecoin framework is seen as a cornerstone of that strategy. Hong Kong's stablecoin licensing regime, passed in 2025, requires fiat-referenced stablecoin issuers to meet strict standards on reserves, redemption, and risk management.

The stablecoin push comes alongside parallel efforts to regulate crypto trading. Hong Kong has already rolled out a licensing regime for crypto trading platforms, under which the Securities and Futures Commission has approved 11 firms so far. Licensed operators include OSL, HashKey, and Bullish, according to the regulator's website.

Hong Kong's crypto drive is also unfolding alongside broader tokenization efforts. In November 2025, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority launched a pilot under Project Ensemble to test real-value transactions using tokenized deposits and digital assets, involving major banks and asset managers.

Meanwhile, the authorities are seeking public feedback on further proposals to introduce additional licensing regimes for crypto asset dealing, advisory, and management services.

On Tuesday, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Professionals Association warned that the proposed changes to virtual asset management rules could deter traditional asset managers from accessing crypto, arguing that stricter licensing thresholds may raise compliance costs and slow institutional adoption.

]]>

  • Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan said authorities plan to issue the first batch of stablecoin licenses in the first quarter, the South China Morning Post reported.
  • The city’s stablecoin licensing regime, passed in 2025, requires issuers to meet strict reserve, redemption and risk management standards.

Hong Kong is planning to issue its first batch of stablecoin licences in the first quarter of this year, as the city presses ahead with its push to become a crypto hub.

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan said that Hong Kong's crypto asset framework remains "responsible and sustainable," noting that the authorities plan to grant the first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses in the first quarter, the South China Morning Post reported.

Chan said the city aims to create a comprehensive ecosystem covering stablecoins, exchanges, and tokenized assets, framing digital finance as a key pillar of Hong Kong's growth strategy amid intensifying global competition.

The stablecoin framework is seen as a cornerstone of that strategy. Hong Kong's stablecoin licensing regime, passed in 2025, requires fiat-referenced stablecoin issuers to meet strict standards on reserves, redemption, and risk management.

The stablecoin push comes alongside parallel efforts to regulate crypto trading. Hong Kong has already rolled out a licensing regime for crypto trading platforms, under which the Securities and Futures Commission has approved 11 firms so far. Licensed operators include OSL, HashKey, and Bullish, according to the regulator's website.

Hong Kong's crypto drive is also unfolding alongside broader tokenization efforts. In November 2025, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority launched a pilot under Project Ensemble to test real-value transactions using tokenized deposits and digital assets, involving major banks and asset managers.

Meanwhile, the authorities are seeking public feedback on further proposals to introduce additional licensing regimes for crypto asset dealing, advisory, and management services.

On Tuesday, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Professionals Association warned that the proposed changes to virtual asset management rules could deter traditional asset managers from accessing crypto, arguing that stricter licensing thresholds may raise compliance costs and slow institutional adoption.

]]> SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce Discusses the Cryptocurrency Market – What Does She Think About Cryptocurrency Legislation? https://criptofiner.com/analysis/170-sec-commissioner-hester-peirce-discusses-the-cryptocurrency-market-–-what-does-she-think-about-cryptocurrency-legislation.html https://criptofiner.com/analysis/170-sec-commissioner-hester-peirce-discusses-the-cryptocurrency-market-–-what-does-she-think-about-cryptocurrency-legislation.html admin Wed, 21 Jan 2026 11:11:57 +0300 SEC member Hester Peirce shared her assessments regarding cryptocurrency law, regulations, and tokenized stocks.

]]> SEC member Hester Peirce shared her assessments regarding cryptocurrency law, regulations, and tokenized stocks.

Peirce explained that creating a clear and workable legal framework for the cryptocurrency market is a long and difficult process, but said that the crypto market structure bill progressing in Congress provides an important foundation in this regard.

Peirce, recalling his previous experience in the Senate, pointed out that drafting and passing such comprehensive legislation through consensus is extremely difficult. Nevertheless, he stated that the bill was positive in that it provided a foundation upon which regulations could be built.

One of the most debated topics on the program was which institution would oversee crypto assets. Peirce stated that even if securities are tokenized, they remain under the SEC’s jurisdiction. “When you tokenize a security, it’s still a security,” Peirce argued, asserting that the SEC’s role remains unchanged.

However, Peirce stated that crypto assets, being commodities, should be regulated by the CFTC rather than the SEC, saying, “This is not our area of expertise, and we don’t want to spend our time there.” Peirce also noted that the majority of crypto assets are not securities and therefore do not fall under the SEC’s regulatory purview.

Peirce stated that companies offering tokenized shares should be subject to the same basic rules as traditional share issuers, but noted that technology necessitates a rethinking of some rules. He said Congress has given the SEC flexible powers in this regard, and that they are working on where the current rule set needs to be adapted.

Peirce stated that fundamental transparency standards must be maintained in transaction and clearing processes, adding that tokenization could alter the way these processes operate and that regulations should reflect this. He also said that the goal is not to have tokenized and non-tokenized versions of the same security traded on separate markets, but rather a single, unified market structure.

The program also addressed news that the NYSE is working on a new blockchain-based platform for 24/7 trading of tokenized stocks and ETFs. Peirce stated that the 24-hour availability of crypto markets is pushing traditional finance in this direction, but that this is a positive development for global investors.

However, he added that in the 24/7 trading world, there are serious operational questions about how to handle issues such as volatility pauses and the market’s need to “breathe” during times of crisis.

Peirce also touched on enforcement policy in the crypto space, stating that the SEC will continue to combat malicious actors within its jurisdiction. However, arguing that lessons should be learned from past mistakes, Peirce said, “Making up and applying rules after the fact is extremely unfair. The right thing to do is to write clear rules first, and then impose sanctions on those who violate them.”

*This is not investment advice.

  • The outspoken crypto supporter spoke about her career at the SEC.
  • She discussed elections, ‘frustration’ in some SEC cases, and Stoner Cats.

Securities and Exchange Commissioner Hester Peirce is happy to talk crypto innovation.

Just don’t call her crypto mom.

Peirce has earned the affection of the crypto industry — and the sobriquet “crypto mom” — for her support of the industry and blistering dissents from rule proposals and lawsuits levelled at the industry under chair Gary Gensler.

Still, libertarian-leaning Peirce says she approaches crypto as a choice that American consumers should be able to make for themselves.

“I think it’s funny, but at the same time, I do take a little bit of an issue with the term ‘mom’,” the commissioner told DL News in an interview last week.

“I’m not your mom.”

DL News spoke to Peirce about the SEC’s crypto crackdown, crypto exchange-traded funds, and the upcoming election.

A new chair

Some have suggested that Peirce — one of two Republican commissioners at the SEC — could be its next chair if Donald Trump is elected president in November.

That would be a boon to the crypto industry, for whom Gensler has become an iconic enemy.

Gensler’s term runs until 2026, but SEC chairs tend to step down early if a new administration comes in.

“If the president changes, typically the chairman of the SEC will also change in response to that,” Peirce said.

The position is a powerful one.

The chair sets the agency’s agenda, and does so independently of the executive branch — not necessarily the case for all federal regulators.

Asked about succession at the SEC, however, Peirce wouldn’t make predictions.

“It could really be anyone — the president has wide latitude” to choose, she said.

Crypto laws

Some politicians are convinced that crypto voters could swing battleground states in November elections.

By the same token, lawmakers have realised they need to move quickly to pass crypto legislation.

The FIT21 Act — which creates a market structure for crypto — passed out of the House of Representatives in May.

The bill would give the SEC’s sister agency, the Commodity Futures Exchange Commission, more authority over spot crypto markets.

Gensler and his CFTC counterpart Rostin Behnam work closely together. But they clearly disagree over one issue — while Gensler says most crypto are securities, Behnam claims them as commodities.

The SEC and CFTC ‘need to step back and remember that we both serve the American people.’

— Hester Peirce

Peirce said she doesn’t think of the SEC’s relationship with the CFTC as a rivalry, and she was happy to see Congress working on deciding where to allocate authority.

“We need to step back and remember that we both serve the American people, and the American markets. We should be thinking about who is better to do function x or y — as Congress has directed us,” she said.

Legislation of this industry must take into account that potential innovation has nothing to do with crypto’s status as a financial asset, she said.

“There’s a lot going on in crypto that has nothing to do with the financial markets at all,” Peirce said.

Decentralised physical infrastructure, for instance, doesn’t fit neatly into a financial legal framework.

Regs by enforcement

Crypto lobbyists say they want regulation because in its absence, the SEC must turn to enforcement.

The Supreme Court recently gave crypto litigants hope.

In a historic overturning of the so-called Chevron doctrine, the court essentially made it easier for judges to overrule the opinion of regulators in cases where statutes are unclear.

Peirce said the agency was “still processing” what impact the ruling could have on its cases.

She said, however, that she has always focused on following Congress’s intentions.

“We have to hew closely to what Congress told us to do,” she said.

The SEC must ensure that it’s sticking to the authority Congress gave it and not “trying to adopt interpretations that are overly aggressive.”

Peirce didn’t comment on open cases — the agency is currently suing exchanges Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken, among others.

But she said the SEC’s court victory against blockchain publishing company LBRY was a low point of her career as commissioner.

“That was a project where really substantial work had been done, and we nevertheless decided to litigate and ended up basically shutting it down,” she said.

The SEC alleged that LBRY had violated securities laws.

“There were no allegations of fraud — it was a registration violation — and that seemed to me problematic,” Peirce said.

A lawsuit against non-fungible token project Stoner Cats, which the parties settled, seemed arbitrary, Peirce said.

“If we had applied similar logic in other contexts, we could be bringing cases against all kinds of non-digital collectible issuers,” she said.

In contrast to Gensler, who has an oft-repeated maxim that crypto businesses just need to “come into the SEC and register,” Peirce said it’s difficult for crypto businesses to access help from the regulator.

“There’s a real hunger for generalised guidance, and we could have put it out and helped both of these projects, as well as many others,” she said.

]]> SEC member Hester Peirce shared her assessments regarding cryptocurrency law, regulations, and tokenized stocks.

Peirce explained that creating a clear and workable legal framework for the cryptocurrency market is a long and difficult process, but said that the crypto market structure bill progressing in Congress provides an important foundation in this regard.

Peirce, recalling his previous experience in the Senate, pointed out that drafting and passing such comprehensive legislation through consensus is extremely difficult. Nevertheless, he stated that the bill was positive in that it provided a foundation upon which regulations could be built.

One of the most debated topics on the program was which institution would oversee crypto assets. Peirce stated that even if securities are tokenized, they remain under the SEC’s jurisdiction. “When you tokenize a security, it’s still a security,” Peirce argued, asserting that the SEC’s role remains unchanged.

However, Peirce stated that crypto assets, being commodities, should be regulated by the CFTC rather than the SEC, saying, “This is not our area of expertise, and we don’t want to spend our time there.” Peirce also noted that the majority of crypto assets are not securities and therefore do not fall under the SEC’s regulatory purview.

Peirce stated that companies offering tokenized shares should be subject to the same basic rules as traditional share issuers, but noted that technology necessitates a rethinking of some rules. He said Congress has given the SEC flexible powers in this regard, and that they are working on where the current rule set needs to be adapted.

Peirce stated that fundamental transparency standards must be maintained in transaction and clearing processes, adding that tokenization could alter the way these processes operate and that regulations should reflect this. He also said that the goal is not to have tokenized and non-tokenized versions of the same security traded on separate markets, but rather a single, unified market structure.

The program also addressed news that the NYSE is working on a new blockchain-based platform for 24/7 trading of tokenized stocks and ETFs. Peirce stated that the 24-hour availability of crypto markets is pushing traditional finance in this direction, but that this is a positive development for global investors.

However, he added that in the 24/7 trading world, there are serious operational questions about how to handle issues such as volatility pauses and the market’s need to “breathe” during times of crisis.

Peirce also touched on enforcement policy in the crypto space, stating that the SEC will continue to combat malicious actors within its jurisdiction. However, arguing that lessons should be learned from past mistakes, Peirce said, “Making up and applying rules after the fact is extremely unfair. The right thing to do is to write clear rules first, and then impose sanctions on those who violate them.”

*This is not investment advice.

  • The outspoken crypto supporter spoke about her career at the SEC.
  • She discussed elections, ‘frustration’ in some SEC cases, and Stoner Cats.

Securities and Exchange Commissioner Hester Peirce is happy to talk crypto innovation.

Just don’t call her crypto mom.

Peirce has earned the affection of the crypto industry — and the sobriquet “crypto mom” — for her support of the industry and blistering dissents from rule proposals and lawsuits levelled at the industry under chair Gary Gensler.

Still, libertarian-leaning Peirce says she approaches crypto as a choice that American consumers should be able to make for themselves.

“I think it’s funny, but at the same time, I do take a little bit of an issue with the term ‘mom’,” the commissioner told DL News in an interview last week.

“I’m not your mom.”

DL News spoke to Peirce about the SEC’s crypto crackdown, crypto exchange-traded funds, and the upcoming election.

A new chair

Some have suggested that Peirce — one of two Republican commissioners at the SEC — could be its next chair if Donald Trump is elected president in November.

That would be a boon to the crypto industry, for whom Gensler has become an iconic enemy.

Gensler’s term runs until 2026, but SEC chairs tend to step down early if a new administration comes in.

“If the president changes, typically the chairman of the SEC will also change in response to that,” Peirce said.

The position is a powerful one.

The chair sets the agency’s agenda, and does so independently of the executive branch — not necessarily the case for all federal regulators.

Asked about succession at the SEC, however, Peirce wouldn’t make predictions.

“It could really be anyone — the president has wide latitude” to choose, she said.

Crypto laws

Some politicians are convinced that crypto voters could swing battleground states in November elections.

By the same token, lawmakers have realised they need to move quickly to pass crypto legislation.

The FIT21 Act — which creates a market structure for crypto — passed out of the House of Representatives in May.

The bill would give the SEC’s sister agency, the Commodity Futures Exchange Commission, more authority over spot crypto markets.

Gensler and his CFTC counterpart Rostin Behnam work closely together. But they clearly disagree over one issue — while Gensler says most crypto are securities, Behnam claims them as commodities.

The SEC and CFTC ‘need to step back and remember that we both serve the American people.’

— Hester Peirce

Peirce said she doesn’t think of the SEC’s relationship with the CFTC as a rivalry, and she was happy to see Congress working on deciding where to allocate authority.

“We need to step back and remember that we both serve the American people, and the American markets. We should be thinking about who is better to do function x or y — as Congress has directed us,” she said.

Legislation of this industry must take into account that potential innovation has nothing to do with crypto’s status as a financial asset, she said.

“There’s a lot going on in crypto that has nothing to do with the financial markets at all,” Peirce said.

Decentralised physical infrastructure, for instance, doesn’t fit neatly into a financial legal framework.

Regs by enforcement

Crypto lobbyists say they want regulation because in its absence, the SEC must turn to enforcement.

The Supreme Court recently gave crypto litigants hope.

In a historic overturning of the so-called Chevron doctrine, the court essentially made it easier for judges to overrule the opinion of regulators in cases where statutes are unclear.

Peirce said the agency was “still processing” what impact the ruling could have on its cases.

She said, however, that she has always focused on following Congress’s intentions.

“We have to hew closely to what Congress told us to do,” she said.

The SEC must ensure that it’s sticking to the authority Congress gave it and not “trying to adopt interpretations that are overly aggressive.”

Peirce didn’t comment on open cases — the agency is currently suing exchanges Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken, among others.

But she said the SEC’s court victory against blockchain publishing company LBRY was a low point of her career as commissioner.

“That was a project where really substantial work had been done, and we nevertheless decided to litigate and ended up basically shutting it down,” she said.

The SEC alleged that LBRY had violated securities laws.

“There were no allegations of fraud — it was a registration violation — and that seemed to me problematic,” Peirce said.

A lawsuit against non-fungible token project Stoner Cats, which the parties settled, seemed arbitrary, Peirce said.

“If we had applied similar logic in other contexts, we could be bringing cases against all kinds of non-digital collectible issuers,” she said.

In contrast to Gensler, who has an oft-repeated maxim that crypto businesses just need to “come into the SEC and register,” Peirce said it’s difficult for crypto businesses to access help from the regulator.

“There’s a real hunger for generalised guidance, and we could have put it out and helped both of these projects, as well as many others,” she said.

]]> Critical Institution CFTC’s New Chairman Speaks About Cryptocurrencies for the First Time https://criptofiner.com/analysis/169-critical-institution-cftc’s-new-chairman-speaks-about-cryptocurrencies-for-the-first-time.html https://criptofiner.com/analysis/169-critical-institution-cftc’s-new-chairman-speaks-about-cryptocurrencies-for-the-first-time.html admin Wed, 21 Jan 2026 11:06:25 +0300 Mike Selig, the new chairman of the US Commodity Futures Commission (CFTC), has announced strong support for the cryptocurrency sector.

]]> Mike Selig, the new chairman of the US Commodity Futures Commission (CFTC), has announced strong support for the cryptocurrency sector.

Selig, appointed by US President Donald Trump, announced a new plan called “Future Protection,” aiming to create a lasting regulatory framework for crypto assets and other financial innovations.

In articles published on both the X platform and The Washington Post, Selig stated that the CFTC will end its long-criticized “enforcement instead of regulation” approach. Accordingly, the institution will develop specific, formal, and sector-tailored rules for emerging markets such as digital assets. Selig argued that this step is critical to protecting the global competitiveness of US financial markets.

The new CFTC Chair stated that the digital asset economy is no longer a “novelty” and has reached a market size of approximately $3 trillion. Selig said that details of the regulations, which have not yet been shared, will become clearer in the coming days, and also announced the establishment of an Innovation Advisory Committee to guide areas such as cryptocurrencies, prediction markets, and perpetual contracts.

Selig also stated that regulations developed through formal rule-making processes are far more stable than informal guidelines and cannot be easily overturned by subsequent administrations. On the same day, the CFTC announced that Michael Passalacqua, a lawyer specializing in crypto law, had joined the institution as an advisor.

*This is not investment advice.

  • Trump’s administration reportedly plans to grant the CFTC oversight of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot markets, curtailing the SEC's role.
  • The move seeks to harmonize regulatory policies, reduce enforcement-driven approaches, and support US crypto growth.
  • While favored by the industry, the CFTC's smaller budget and resources may pose challenges to effective market oversight.

President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is reportedly planning to grant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) expanded oversight over the cryptocurrency market.

The move is aimed at scaling back the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) regulatory influence, potentially positioning the CFTC as the primary regulator for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

CFTC as the Preferred Crypto Regulator

According to Fox Business, the Trump administration seeks to redefine regulatory responsibilities. Specifically, to give the CFTC jurisdiction over the spot markets for Bitcoin and Ethereum. These two assets alone, valued at approximately $2.24 trillion, comprise 70% of the global cryptocurrency market.

By designating them as commodities, the CFTC’s lighter regulatory touch—traditionally applied to derivatives and commodities markets—may appeal to industry stakeholders seeking reduced barriers to innovation.

Former CFTC Chair Christopher Giancarlo, widely recognized as “Crypto Dad,” has expressed support for the agency’s expanded role.

“With adequate funding and under the right leadership, the CFTC could hit the ground running to begin regulating digital commodities on day one of Donald Trump’s presidency,” Fox Business reported, citing Giancarlo.

The proposal aligns with Republican priorities of fostering innovation and reducing regulatory hurdles. It also reflects dissatisfaction with the SEC’s enforcement-driven approach under outgoing Chair Gary Gensler, whose tenure was marked by aggressive crackdowns on cryptocurrency firms.

Addressing Regulatory Uncertainty

The SEC and CFTC have long debated the classification of digital assets, leading to fragmented and often conflicting oversight. While the SEC views most cryptocurrencies as securities, the CFTC treats Bitcoin and Ethereum as commodities. This inconsistency has created a regulatory gray area, stifling growth and driving crypto businesses to more accommodating jurisdictions.

If implemented, the plan could also mitigate disputes between the agencies. CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam previously asserted jurisdiction over Ethereum. Citing its trading as a futures contract, the agency has already demonstrated an appetite for broader involvement in digital asset regulation.

In tandem with the Trump administration’s push to empower the CFTC, a newly proposed bipartisan initiative—the “BRIDGE Digital Assets Act”—seeks to create a cooperative framework between the SEC and CFTC. Championed by Tennessee Congressman John Rose, this legislation introduces a joint advisory committee composed of 20 private sector representatives.

“The current heavy-handed, regulation-by-enforcement approach isn’t working and is instead encouraging investment in this key innovation overseas,” the bill states.

By fostering collaboration, the committee aims to harmonize regulatory policies and provide a clear path for industry and government partnerships. Such a cooperative approach could resolve past conflicts between the agencies.

For instance, the SEC’s 2023 declaration that all Proof-of-Stake (PoS) tokens were securities clashed with the CFTC’s treatment of Ethereum as a commodity. A unified framework would clarify jurisdictional authority, offering much-needed guidance to crypto firms and investors.

The crypto community has largely welcomed the idea of CFTC-led regulation, perceiving the agency as more accommodating than the SEC.

“The SEC will no longer be able to strangle the crypto market…Its [CFTC] activities are regulated more gently, since the derivatives markets are dominated by sophisticated institutional players who are better able to manage risks,” one user commented.

However, concerns remain about the CFTC’s capacity to handle expanded responsibilities. With an annual budget of $400 million and a staff of 700—substantially smaller than the SEC’s $2.4 billion budget and 5,300 employees—the CFTC would require significant funding and resources to oversee the crypto spot market effectively.

Additionally, some traditional CFTC constituencies, such as agricultural commodity traders, have voiced concerns about the potential spillover effects of the agency’s involvement in digital markets. Legislative language addressing these concerns will be critical to securing bipartisan support.

]]> Mike Selig, the new chairman of the US Commodity Futures Commission (CFTC), has announced strong support for the cryptocurrency sector.

Selig, appointed by US President Donald Trump, announced a new plan called “Future Protection,” aiming to create a lasting regulatory framework for crypto assets and other financial innovations.

In articles published on both the X platform and The Washington Post, Selig stated that the CFTC will end its long-criticized “enforcement instead of regulation” approach. Accordingly, the institution will develop specific, formal, and sector-tailored rules for emerging markets such as digital assets. Selig argued that this step is critical to protecting the global competitiveness of US financial markets.

The new CFTC Chair stated that the digital asset economy is no longer a “novelty” and has reached a market size of approximately $3 trillion. Selig said that details of the regulations, which have not yet been shared, will become clearer in the coming days, and also announced the establishment of an Innovation Advisory Committee to guide areas such as cryptocurrencies, prediction markets, and perpetual contracts.

Selig also stated that regulations developed through formal rule-making processes are far more stable than informal guidelines and cannot be easily overturned by subsequent administrations. On the same day, the CFTC announced that Michael Passalacqua, a lawyer specializing in crypto law, had joined the institution as an advisor.

*This is not investment advice.

  • Trump’s administration reportedly plans to grant the CFTC oversight of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot markets, curtailing the SEC's role.
  • The move seeks to harmonize regulatory policies, reduce enforcement-driven approaches, and support US crypto growth.
  • While favored by the industry, the CFTC's smaller budget and resources may pose challenges to effective market oversight.

President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is reportedly planning to grant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) expanded oversight over the cryptocurrency market.

The move is aimed at scaling back the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) regulatory influence, potentially positioning the CFTC as the primary regulator for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

CFTC as the Preferred Crypto Regulator

According to Fox Business, the Trump administration seeks to redefine regulatory responsibilities. Specifically, to give the CFTC jurisdiction over the spot markets for Bitcoin and Ethereum. These two assets alone, valued at approximately $2.24 trillion, comprise 70% of the global cryptocurrency market.

By designating them as commodities, the CFTC’s lighter regulatory touch—traditionally applied to derivatives and commodities markets—may appeal to industry stakeholders seeking reduced barriers to innovation.

Former CFTC Chair Christopher Giancarlo, widely recognized as “Crypto Dad,” has expressed support for the agency’s expanded role.

“With adequate funding and under the right leadership, the CFTC could hit the ground running to begin regulating digital commodities on day one of Donald Trump’s presidency,” Fox Business reported, citing Giancarlo.

The proposal aligns with Republican priorities of fostering innovation and reducing regulatory hurdles. It also reflects dissatisfaction with the SEC’s enforcement-driven approach under outgoing Chair Gary Gensler, whose tenure was marked by aggressive crackdowns on cryptocurrency firms.

Addressing Regulatory Uncertainty

The SEC and CFTC have long debated the classification of digital assets, leading to fragmented and often conflicting oversight. While the SEC views most cryptocurrencies as securities, the CFTC treats Bitcoin and Ethereum as commodities. This inconsistency has created a regulatory gray area, stifling growth and driving crypto businesses to more accommodating jurisdictions.

If implemented, the plan could also mitigate disputes between the agencies. CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam previously asserted jurisdiction over Ethereum. Citing its trading as a futures contract, the agency has already demonstrated an appetite for broader involvement in digital asset regulation.

In tandem with the Trump administration’s push to empower the CFTC, a newly proposed bipartisan initiative—the “BRIDGE Digital Assets Act”—seeks to create a cooperative framework between the SEC and CFTC. Championed by Tennessee Congressman John Rose, this legislation introduces a joint advisory committee composed of 20 private sector representatives.

“The current heavy-handed, regulation-by-enforcement approach isn’t working and is instead encouraging investment in this key innovation overseas,” the bill states.

By fostering collaboration, the committee aims to harmonize regulatory policies and provide a clear path for industry and government partnerships. Such a cooperative approach could resolve past conflicts between the agencies.

For instance, the SEC’s 2023 declaration that all Proof-of-Stake (PoS) tokens were securities clashed with the CFTC’s treatment of Ethereum as a commodity. A unified framework would clarify jurisdictional authority, offering much-needed guidance to crypto firms and investors.

The crypto community has largely welcomed the idea of CFTC-led regulation, perceiving the agency as more accommodating than the SEC.

“The SEC will no longer be able to strangle the crypto market…Its [CFTC] activities are regulated more gently, since the derivatives markets are dominated by sophisticated institutional players who are better able to manage risks,” one user commented.

However, concerns remain about the CFTC’s capacity to handle expanded responsibilities. With an annual budget of $400 million and a staff of 700—substantially smaller than the SEC’s $2.4 billion budget and 5,300 employees—the CFTC would require significant funding and resources to oversee the crypto spot market effectively.

Additionally, some traditional CFTC constituencies, such as agricultural commodity traders, have voiced concerns about the potential spillover effects of the agency’s involvement in digital markets. Legislative language addressing these concerns will be critical to securing bipartisan support.

]]> XRP Price Prediction 2026: How XRP Could Reach $8 https://criptofiner.com/analysis/165-xrp-price-prediction-2026-how-xrp-could-reach-8.html https://criptofiner.com/analysis/165-xrp-price-prediction-2026-how-xrp-could-reach-8.html admin Sun, 18 Jan 2026 09:28:11 +0300

  • XRP could target $8 in 2026 as Ripple’s global expansion, regulatory clarity, DeFi growth, and rising institutional interest strengthen long-term demand.

  • Analysts say XRP holding above $2 shows accumulation, and a breakout past $3.40 could trigger a strong rally toward $7–$8.50 next cycle.

]]>

  • XRP could target $8 in 2026 as Ripple’s global expansion, regulatory clarity, DeFi growth, and rising institutional interest strengthen long-term demand.

  • Analysts say XRP holding above $2 shows accumulation, and a breakout past $3.40 could trigger a strong rally toward $7–$8.50 next cycle.

    XRP could reach a new all-time high in 2026, with analysts increasingly pointing to the $8 level as a realistic long-term target. While some market commentators continue to promote extreme price forecasts, current market structure, fundamentals, and historical trends suggest that a move toward $8 is a more achievable scenario.

    At present, XRP price is trading near $2, meaning a rally to $8 would still represent a 4x return from current levels.

    Top Reasons Why XRP Price Rally is on Cards

    Ripple’s Expansion Strengthens XRP’s Long-Term Outlook

    One of the strongest reasons for a positive XRP price outlook in 2026 is Ripple’s fast global expansion. Ripple has spent over $4 billion acquiring major financial infrastructure firms. This has turned the company into a full-service digital asset provider.

    Key deals include G Treasury for treasury and liquidity management, Rail for global corporate payments, Palisade for digital asset custody, and Hidden Road, now Ripple Prime, for institutional prime brokerage services.

    Ripple also holds more than 75 global licenses. This makes it one of the most regulated crypto firms in the world. These moves are boosting real-world use of Ripple’s ecosystem. This directly supports long-term demand for XRP.

    Regulatory Clarity Could Boost XRP Price in 2026

    Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently highlighted progress on U.S. crypto market structure legislation, stating that regulatory clarity is better than continued uncertainty.

    Clearer rules could unlock greater institutional participation in crypto markets. For XRP, which has faced years of regulatory pressure, this would remove a major barrier to long-term growth.

    Improved regulation is a key factor behind optimistic XRP price predictions for 2026.

    XRP DeFi Growth Creates New Demand

    XRP is no longer just a trading asset. New DeFi platforms now allow holders to earn 8% to 12% yield by staking XRP on-chain. Earlier, most investors only held XRP on exchanges without earning income.

    These yield options encourage long-term holding, increase on-chain activity, and attract institutional players. As XRP’s real-world use grows, it builds a stronger case for higher prices in the next market cycle.

    Institutional Interest in XRP Products Is Rising

    Futures-based XRP investment products are gaining stronger demand than expected.

    Market analysts note that XRP futures launched after Solana’s but are already seeing higher interest levels, signaling growing institutional confidence.

    While XRP ETFs may not match Bitcoin ETF inflows, steady institutional accumulation can provide long-term price support into 2026.

    How XRP Price Can Reach $8 in 2026?

    Even after early investors sold over 200 million XRP, the price has stayed stable near $2. This shows strong buying interest from long-term holders. It is a classic sign of accumulation. As long as XRP trades between $1.90 and $3.40, analysts believe a solid base is forming for the next major breakout.

    Bitcoin dominance remains high near 58%. This means most capital is still concentrated in Bitcoin. Historically, once Bitcoin finishes a major rally, money rotates into large altcoins. This “altseason” effect has previously triggered strong XRP rallies. If Bitcoin hits new highs in the next cycle, XRP could benefit sharply.

    The $8 XRP price target is based on realistic market math, not hype. If Bitcoin climbs to $175,000 and the total crypto market reaches $5.7 trillion, and XRP captures 8% market share, its valuation supports a price between $7.70 and $8.50. This scenario assumes normal market growth, not extreme speculation.

    Technical Patterns Point to a Major Breakout

    XRP has spent years forming a strong long-term base. A clear breakout above $2.70, followed by a move past the all-time high near $3.40, could open the door for a rally toward $7 to $8.50. This target is based on past price patterns. Long consolidation periods often lead to sharp breakouts once key resistance levels are crossed.

    Short-term volatility and unexpected market events could still push XRP below $1.90 temporarily. However, analysts view deep pullbacks as long-term accumulation opportunities if XRP achieves new highs in 2026.


]]>

  • XRP could target $8 in 2026 as Ripple’s global expansion, regulatory clarity, DeFi growth, and rising institutional interest strengthen long-term demand.

  • Analysts say XRP holding above $2 shows accumulation, and a breakout past $3.40 could trigger a strong rally toward $7–$8.50 next cycle.

    XRP could reach a new all-time high in 2026, with analysts increasingly pointing to the $8 level as a realistic long-term target. While some market commentators continue to promote extreme price forecasts, current market structure, fundamentals, and historical trends suggest that a move toward $8 is a more achievable scenario.

    At present, XRP price is trading near $2, meaning a rally to $8 would still represent a 4x return from current levels.

    Top Reasons Why XRP Price Rally is on Cards

    Ripple’s Expansion Strengthens XRP’s Long-Term Outlook

    One of the strongest reasons for a positive XRP price outlook in 2026 is Ripple’s fast global expansion. Ripple has spent over $4 billion acquiring major financial infrastructure firms. This has turned the company into a full-service digital asset provider.

    Key deals include G Treasury for treasury and liquidity management, Rail for global corporate payments, Palisade for digital asset custody, and Hidden Road, now Ripple Prime, for institutional prime brokerage services.

    Ripple also holds more than 75 global licenses. This makes it one of the most regulated crypto firms in the world. These moves are boosting real-world use of Ripple’s ecosystem. This directly supports long-term demand for XRP.

    Regulatory Clarity Could Boost XRP Price in 2026

    Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently highlighted progress on U.S. crypto market structure legislation, stating that regulatory clarity is better than continued uncertainty.

    Clearer rules could unlock greater institutional participation in crypto markets. For XRP, which has faced years of regulatory pressure, this would remove a major barrier to long-term growth.

    Improved regulation is a key factor behind optimistic XRP price predictions for 2026.

    XRP DeFi Growth Creates New Demand

    XRP is no longer just a trading asset. New DeFi platforms now allow holders to earn 8% to 12% yield by staking XRP on-chain. Earlier, most investors only held XRP on exchanges without earning income.

    These yield options encourage long-term holding, increase on-chain activity, and attract institutional players. As XRP’s real-world use grows, it builds a stronger case for higher prices in the next market cycle.

    Institutional Interest in XRP Products Is Rising

    Futures-based XRP investment products are gaining stronger demand than expected.

    Market analysts note that XRP futures launched after Solana’s but are already seeing higher interest levels, signaling growing institutional confidence.

    While XRP ETFs may not match Bitcoin ETF inflows, steady institutional accumulation can provide long-term price support into 2026.

    How XRP Price Can Reach $8 in 2026?

    Even after early investors sold over 200 million XRP, the price has stayed stable near $2. This shows strong buying interest from long-term holders. It is a classic sign of accumulation. As long as XRP trades between $1.90 and $3.40, analysts believe a solid base is forming for the next major breakout.

    Bitcoin dominance remains high near 58%. This means most capital is still concentrated in Bitcoin. Historically, once Bitcoin finishes a major rally, money rotates into large altcoins. This “altseason” effect has previously triggered strong XRP rallies. If Bitcoin hits new highs in the next cycle, XRP could benefit sharply.

    The $8 XRP price target is based on realistic market math, not hype. If Bitcoin climbs to $175,000 and the total crypto market reaches $5.7 trillion, and XRP captures 8% market share, its valuation supports a price between $7.70 and $8.50. This scenario assumes normal market growth, not extreme speculation.

    Technical Patterns Point to a Major Breakout

    XRP has spent years forming a strong long-term base. A clear breakout above $2.70, followed by a move past the all-time high near $3.40, could open the door for a rally toward $7 to $8.50. This target is based on past price patterns. Long consolidation periods often lead to sharp breakouts once key resistance levels are crossed.

    Short-term volatility and unexpected market events could still push XRP below $1.90 temporarily. However, analysts view deep pullbacks as long-term accumulation opportunities if XRP achieves new highs in 2026.


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